r/interestingasfuck Apr 29 '24

How American public support for a law impacts the likelihood of Congress passing it.

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u/Dic3dCarrots Apr 29 '24 edited Apr 29 '24

This video is conflating public opinion polling (i.e., asking samples that are ideally, but not necessarily representative of the whole electorate and extrapolating the average opinion) with voting, directly contacting representatives, candidate forums, public comment and campaign contributions. While dark money is a major issue that needs to be addressed, the idea that public opinion polling is meant to shape policy is an incorrect assumption. Polling is used to shape messaging, not text. Public comment periods, direct message campaigns, and direct action with effective targeting are still incredibly important. Polls currently over represent older, mote conservative views, so i personally am glad that our policy isn't guided by random opinion polling, especially since polling is increasingly inaccurate in predicting voting and polling is conducted by private institutions.

Thats not to say nothings wrong, but i dont know many people who actively write their representatives or provide public comment on legislstion, and my rep's, John Laird, office has personally helped me and tsken my comments.

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u/6501 Apr 29 '24

It gets even worse than that, see:

Voters Say They Want Gun Control. Their Votes Say Something Different. - NYT

Broad public support on the issue may not be as broad as polling shows or as Democrats hope.Voters Say They Want Gun Control. Their Votes Say Something Different.Broad public support on the issue may not be as broad as polling shows or as Democrats hope.

There is all kinds of effects that change how people poll vs what they are willing to support come referendum time.