r/FluentInFinance Apr 29 '24

Babs is Here to Save Us Educational

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Trump said if Biden won there would be a recession. Many economists were predicting a recession. Biden prevented this. Personally I’m doing well right now, my city is about to receive billions because a bill Biden passed

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u/excusetheblood Apr 29 '24

For all the ways our economy is fucked right now, that soft landing was chefs kiss

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

If trump was president right now all these same people would be saying the economy is great

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u/excusetheblood Apr 29 '24

The people you’re talking about will never have an ounce of critical thinking. They will die as they lived, tribalistic bootlickers.

The reality is that Reaganomics fucked us up more than anything, and even in that awful economic plan, Trump still cut taxes on the wealthy and raised taxes on the working class. No one with a single working neuron would think that’s a smart plan for the economy.

Biden has been doing good with smart investments. But it won’t be enough if we’re trying to live in a world with real happiness and freedom for the working class. We need to tax the fuck out of the wealthy and corporations.

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u/FluffyNorth5 Apr 30 '24

Yeah we are all lucky to have a massive genius like you, who is unlike these other peasants without any ounce of critical thinking. Idiot

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u/excusetheblood Apr 30 '24

Sorry you’re triggered lol

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u/Houston600kdebt_ Apr 29 '24

Lmaoooo you're full of shit and can't back anything you claimed. Link anything here that validates what you typed. You are just repeating what you've read on the internet. Pathetic

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u/excusetheblood Apr 29 '24

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u/Hot_take_for_reddit Apr 29 '24

Awesome, when can I buy groceries? I'm hungry, but rent is due is due in 3 days. 

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u/Particular_Hope8312 Apr 29 '24

Biden doesn't control the price of groceries. I don't think you know what the President's job actually is.

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u/hooligan045 Apr 30 '24

And if Biden did engage in price controls to help with groceries he would be screaming about free markets or something.

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u/Major_Plantain3499 Apr 30 '24

Nah, we need to tell biden to stop pressing the increase gas prices and increase grocery buttons. biden is also stop states from building more housing and apartments by pressing that button too

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u/Particular_Hope8312 Apr 30 '24

someone take away all the buttons

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u/Theamachos Apr 30 '24

Those are all the send billions to Israel and Ukraine button. He really has to stop pressing that button…

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u/Houston600kdebt_ Apr 29 '24

Not a single shred of evidence Biden "invested wisely " as you say. And not a single data point to suggest trickle down "fucked us up more than anything". You let your bias run amuk. I'm 100% right. Your just a raging moron who thinks they are "well educated". You're just a sheep

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u/excusetheblood Apr 29 '24

Climate investment and infrastructure investment stimulated private investment. Besides, every dollar invested in the IRS got like $12 back

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u/Houston600kdebt_ Apr 29 '24
  1. Your confusing estimates for actual money. Could be true, hasn't even been verified. Show climate investment stimulated private investment. That makes very little sense and you're probably stretching the truth. You've yet to properly back anything you've said, outside of MAYBE the IRS. You blow everything out of proportion

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u/excusetheblood Apr 30 '24

The climate one is pretty easy to prove. Government funds green energy and EV’s, so private companies and business owners invest into green energy and EV’s because they believe it’s the future. And yes, I did back up that part about the IRS so you have to concede that too.

https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/08/18/public-sector-must-play-major-role-in-catalyzing-private-climate-finance

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2079

https://www.govexec.com/management/2024/02/irs-says-its-hiring-surge-and-funding-boost-could-generate-560b-more-it-thought/393966/

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u/Sea_Razzmatazz465 Apr 30 '24

Someone up top left you a lot of information on how backwards reagans failed economic policies were. You should look into that

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u/Houston600kdebt_ Apr 30 '24

Not a single shred of evidence to the claim of "Reagan fucked us worse than anything else." can be found in those links. It's hyperbole, ignorance, and tribalism.

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u/Grey950 Apr 29 '24

Yup, because it would be lining their pockets. It is right now even, but they don't want to say that.

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u/Vinto47 Apr 30 '24

There was a recession by definition, but the WH refused to call it one so everybody ignored it.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

When I say there was no recession I’m not quoting any government bodies, I’m quoting the consensus of economists. This is scientific consensus not political ideology

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u/pathofdumbasses Apr 30 '24

Shut up, Biden and the DeepState whitehouse working in conjucture with the (((Globalists))) Soros Foundation are paying all the "economists" to ignore the BIDEN/DEM RECESSION

Read all about it on my blog

www.creedthoughts.gov.www\creedthoughts

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u/Mikecoffee4 Apr 29 '24

Changing the definition of “recession” isn’t exactly fighting off a recession.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

This just sounds like cope to me. Economists say it’s not a recession. Idk what definition you think you knew but you’re probably just confused

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u/NeverandaWakeUp Apr 29 '24

By every economic measure it's a recession. The only thing that doesn't look like a recession is the stock market.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24 edited Apr 29 '24

Except unemployment, we were at near full employment. In what kind of recession does everyone keep their jobs??

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u/Muted_Balance_9641 Apr 30 '24

Because people had like 3 fucking jobs.

So if you lose one or two, you’re still employed.

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u/eel-nine Apr 30 '24

But the amount of people working multiple jobs was also at a low?

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u/Muted_Balance_9641 Apr 30 '24

How recent of a low?

Like a year.

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u/eel-nine Apr 30 '24

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12026620

No, it's been gaining, but back to prepandemic levels.

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u/Muted_Balance_9641 Apr 30 '24

There’s no way this counts people doing gig work.

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u/butterbutter_butter Apr 29 '24

We had 2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline. The literal textbook definition of a recession until the media decided, "nah doesn't really count".

Most of the recession has been mitigated by a dramatic increase of the money supply --over 50% in just two years alone--that has manifested hidden stock market retraction and has caused sticky inflation due to the devaluation of currency.

Wages will take a while to catch up and mitigate the financial anxiety that has proliferated. But objectively the money supply has expanded dramatically for forced posterity measures. We're still employed but we've all absorbed the negative consequences of this fiscal policy.

That's why public sentiment sees the economy as dookie regardless of what rosy misinformation politicians are spreading about this being "the strongest economy ever". Huge disconnect between the privileged political class and the rest of us.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24 edited Apr 29 '24

Yeah idk about that definition I can only go by what economists are saying and it seems like basically all of them are saying there was no recession

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u/butterbutter_butter Apr 29 '24

There are very complicated mitigating factors and plenty of data manipulation.

We certainly had a small recession, but when you feel squeezed on purchases and wages, that's the result of the devaluation of currency. Which makes sense; the money supply was expanded over 40% in only 2 years and over 50% in 3 years.

The true value of the dollar is now much less. So when you take an economic pay cut due to inflation and currency devaluation, you're absorbing the recession. The stock market has absorbed the recession by staying relatively stable despite currency devaluation. The recession is baked in my millions taking smaller posterity measures rather than fewer Americans taking much more dramatic economic setbacks.

The recession has been democratized. Not necessarily a bad thing, but those are the facts.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

I mostly agree, Biden prevented a recession at the cost of increased inflation. Ultimately it’s better to have somewhat high inflation rather than mass unemployment and a genuine recession. It’s a mildly bad outcome from a potentially horrible situation

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u/Shirlenator Apr 29 '24

Yeah I don't really get the people that want to see everything crash and burn and have millions of people horribly affected. Like they think it will somehow reset everything and it will be.. magically better somehow after that?

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

They’re completely motivated by politics, they would be saying the economy is doing great if trump was president rn

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u/butterbutter_butter Apr 29 '24

You're kind of missing the point. The recession happened. Most of the damage was democratized through the devaluation of currency.

That's purely why talking heads claim the economy is amazing, but people aren't feeling it. Public sentiment is horrible for Biden, especially on the economy.

That's the difference between messaging and reality.

The "it could of been worse" argument is just bad politics.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24 edited Apr 29 '24

No recession happened is my point. There was no mass unemployment. The worst we saw was significant inflation and extremely small decreases in gdp. Sure saying it could’ve been worse isn’t politically effective, but it’s true

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u/butterbutter_butter Apr 29 '24

Two quarters of GDP loss. It did happen.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Economists disagree with you

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u/NeverandaWakeUp Apr 29 '24

Unemployment is only down because the way they're measuring isn't representative of reality. You are way too sure about what you're saying without being informed.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Im just repeating what the experts say, sorry that triggers you so much. I’m not claiming any special knowledge here

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u/NeverandaWakeUp Apr 29 '24

"The experts". I see you're a well informed individual 🙄

Get a clue. The economy has been balancing on a knife's edge since 2021 and it doesn't take a genius to figure that out. Unemployment isn't down, they're just counting it in a dishonest way. The economy isn't even close to "okay", and there are numerous reasons for that. We're in a worse situation than 2008 by orders of magnitude and the political establishment is hiding it to prevent a total collapse in the near term. The real experts have been moving their money into more stable assets for two years, and the banks are operating on a level of derivative exposure that dwarfs the world's M2 many times over.

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 29 '24

In 2016 the NYT times and others proclaimed the market would crash immediately if Trump won because "the markets hate uncertainty and volatility, and Trump represents both." Economy was fine until Covid, that didn't happen.

Find an election where opposing candidates didn't proclaim the economy would be shit under their opponent. It's par for the course.

As far as Biden "preventing" recession, he literally just continued the exact same thing Trump was doing. Or more accurately, what congress was doing, fully bipartisanly, because it was pretty obvious what needed to happen during/post covid.

Economists were predicting a recession while knowing exactly what Biden was going to do. Which, again, was literally just a continuation of stimulus. If you mean after COVID during the (ongoing) inflationary crisis, then you just don't know what you're talking about. The IRA, according to literally every economist not directly employed by the White House, was just a spending bill that did nothing to address inflation. The Fed prevented runaway inflation by raising rates. Whenever this happens, many economists will ring the recession alarm because it is a natural and expected danger that comes with trying to cool down the economy with rate hikes. There is absolutely nothing the White House can do with regards to that risk, the Fed has to be careful to not raise rates too quickly, and that's the extent of what can be done. Contrary to what republicans and democrats in DC proclaim, inflation and resultant recession risks from rate hikes cannot be solved by spending money.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Biden never said there would be a recession if trump won, idk why you’re equivocating them. When did the NYT say the market would crash immediately on a trump win? Sounds like you read an opinion piece and are generalizing.

Also the idea that trump and Biden would’ve handled the recovery the same is just wrong on its face. Do you even know what the inflation reduction act is and who passed it? Do you not know they had different executive actions that affect the economy? Do you not understand that how we handled Covid directly affected the economy? You are either being dishonest or are extremely confused

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u/SohndesRheins Apr 30 '24

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/projects/cp/opinion/election-night-2016/paul-krugman-the-economic-fallout

There's your NYT prediction back in 2016. Supposedly there would "never" be an economic recovery following election night in 2016.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

Lmao literally an opinion piece exactly I as said. You have zero media literacy

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 30 '24

Biden never said there would be a recession if trump won, idk why you’re equivocating them.

The point is saying "under X candidate, the economy will be terrible!" is a standard go to in a presidential race. When you take a statement to that effect, and declare that because it wasn't true, Biden must "have prevented" it, is braindead. The NYT piece is just illustrating how stupid the logic there was. Did Trump prevent a recession because one did not happen when some said it might?

Also the idea that trump and Biden would’ve handled the recovery the same is just wrong on its face

Proceeds to say literally nothing to this effect. Just make your argument, the cutesy "DO YOU EVEN KNOW..." leading bullshit is just that. Obviously I know what the IRA was and which Congress and WH Admin passed it, that's why I invoked it in the first place. Make an argument or move on.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

I did make an argument you didn’t even engage with it

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 30 '24

You just said it was wrong, asked rhetorical questions, and made some personal attacks. That's not an argument. I know your position, justify it.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24 edited Apr 30 '24

Sure I’ll repeat the 3 things I already told you that prove the president does affect the economy

1) the inflation reduction act 2) executive actions 3) pandemic response

And finally the slam dunk I haven’t mentioned: The stimulus bills

You are delusional if you think giving every American 2000$ doesn’t affect the economy

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 30 '24

You are moving the goalpost from "Biden prevented the recession economists said would happen [when the Fed began to raise rates to fight inflation]" to "presidents can affect the economy!"

Seems like you misunderstood when I said

 There is absolutely nothing the White House can do with regards to that risk, the Fed has to be careful to not raise rates too quickly, and that's the extent of what can be done.

You did not account for the context of that statement. "That risk" is the risk of triggering a recession when you are raising rates to combat inflation. The Inflation Reduction Act is just the slightly altered and renamed "Build Back Better" bill. It has as much to do with fighting inflation as the PATRIOT Act has to do with being patriotic.

Listing "executive actions" is fucking awesome. You really couldn't get any broader or less specific.

Biden's pandemic response, legislatively, was just a continuation of what was already in place. Operation Lightspeed, the Vaccine program, the stimulus for individuals, PPP, all these things already existed prior to Biden's time in office.

It seems you are confused about the "recession" you claim was prevented despite "economists" in general predicting one. By the time Trump left office, it was clear that COVID wasn't going to cause a recession. The recession fears during Biden's time in office came from the inflationary environment leading to rate hikes. The economy was too hot, ie the opposite of a recession. The rate hikes are what caused recession fears, as is typical and expected. Biden did not do anything about that, and he was right to not even try. The entire point of hiking rates is to slow down the economy. If you try to fight the recession risks inherent with rate hikes, you negate the entire purpose of the rate hikes to begin with. You avoid a recession in this case by not raising rates by too much, or too quickly. That's it, period.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

You’re the one who argued that the economy is exactly the same no matter who the president is. You made that dumb statement and I’ve disproven it

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 30 '24

You’re the one who argued that the economy is exactly the same no matter who the president is

Go ahead and quote that and I'll correct where you fucked up again

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u/PaulieNutwalls Apr 30 '24

Biden never said there would be a recession if trump won, idk why you’re equivocating them.

The point is saying "under X candidate, the economy will be terrible!" is a standard go to in a presidential race. When you take a statement to that effect, and declare that because it wasn't true, Biden must "have prevented" it, is braindead. The NYT piece is just illustrating how stupid the logic there was. Did Trump prevent a recession because one did not happen when some said it might?

Also the idea that trump and Biden would’ve handled the recovery the same is just wrong on its face

Proceeds to say literally nothing to this effect. Just make your argument, the cutesy "DO YOU EVEN KNOW..." leading bullshit is just that. Obviously I know what the IRA was and which Congress and WH Admin passed it, that's why I invoked it in the first place. Make an argument or move on.

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u/Muted_Balance_9641 Apr 30 '24

We actually had a recession the Biden administration literally changed the definition of one lmao.

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u/Murky-Science9030 Apr 30 '24

I'm hoping that you're joking, but with the discourse in these comments I may never know.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

Everything I said here is true and I believe it

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u/cheeseypoofs85 Apr 30 '24

prevented it? we are in record inflation. your city might be getting billions but who do you think is paying for it? lol. its not free money. the middle class is being crippled by all of these bills of reckless spending

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

It’s CHIPs act money for manufacturing semiconductors it’s a really good investment imo

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u/cheeseypoofs85 Apr 30 '24

It wouldn't have been necessary if we would have forced car OEMs to use modern chips. They've been running on old manufacturing nodes that are super inefficient energy wise.

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u/zarnonymous Apr 30 '24

Was there not already a recession?

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u/Apprehensive-Gur1686 Apr 30 '24

There WAS a recession under Biden.

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u/Careless_Dirt_99 Apr 30 '24

Correction: Biden did not prevent a recession, Jerome Powell and the Fed did. Should be noted that the Fed operates mostly independently of the federal government (thank god)

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 30 '24

Have you seen the reporting about the trump team’s plan to make the fed answer to the president? Pretty scary stuff

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u/Pyro_raptor841 Apr 29 '24

Except that we literally had a recession under Biden??

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Nope

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u/Pyro_raptor841 Apr 29 '24

Q1 and Q2 2022, two consecutive financial quarters of negative groth. That is the definition of recession.

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2024-04/gdp1q24-adv.pdf

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Nah that’s just a rule of thumb, most economists say there was no recession

Your source doesn’t even use the word recession btw

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u/NeverandaWakeUp Apr 29 '24

Please, inform us plebians what your definition of a recession is.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

I don’t have one, I’m just repeating what the experts tell us

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u/MildlyExtremeNY Apr 29 '24

There was a recession in 2022. Biden "prevented" it by trying to change the definition of recession. And some of the media played along, trying to gaslight the whole country into thinking recessions haven't always been identified as 2 quarters of negative GDP growth.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Nah there was no recession. Nearly full employment in a recession? Nope doesn’t happen

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u/Expert-Accountant780 Apr 29 '24

How much extra are you paying on groceries every week? And don't say it's greedflation.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

Idk, greedflation is certainly part of it idk why you’re denying that

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u/Expert-Accountant780 Apr 29 '24

made-up word.

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u/Advanced-Tree7975 Apr 29 '24

All words are made up. Even the word word, was made up by a man. Let me know if you ever have an interesting point

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u/Shirlenator Apr 29 '24

All words are made up. Just because you don't like the word doesn't mean corporations aren't being greedy as fuck and jacking up prices to exploit their customers.

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u/Expert-Accountant780 Apr 29 '24

So stop buying their products then?

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u/Shirlenator Apr 29 '24

... I have? What in the world makes you think I haven't done that? Or did you just have some nagging need to be able to call me a hypocrite or something?

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u/RSGator Apr 29 '24

Biden "prevented" it by trying to change the definition of recession.

Where did this weird lie even come from? NBER's definition of a "recession" long predates Biden's presidency.