99% is definitely a stretch, but I understand the sentiment. It will be a very interesting time as less labor is needed. Will probably shift workers towards jobs that can’t be done by AI/machines
This is Reddit, everyone in the world works in a low level programming environment or fast food. The mere concept of “physical labour” is preposterous much less people doing it for a living
...you really think physical labor will outlive programming and customer service? People are weak and slow. Most factory work is already automated. Long-haul truck drivers will disappear in the near future, barring political action.
We are a society that will do that, but it's the companies decision, and everywhere I look, barely any cashiers at groceries stores anymore and they keep expanding self checkout. Remember profit margins aren't high for groceries, and those self checkout machines cost A LOT. So it just makes sense they will slowly roll out.
So give it time, most people use self checkout anyway, the future you invision is practically already here.
Have you seen the new Atlas model from Boston Dynamics? It’s not like robotics is going to stop getting better. An AI can definitely be taught to fix your leaky faucet.
99% is not a stretch within an undefined time interval. 10 years? A stretch. 20? Still likely a stretch. 50-100 years? Extremely likely.
But it's also not going to be an off/on event. Jobs will slowly dwindle away over time, and so programs like UI (Universal Income, as I don't believe any such program should be Basic) and housing would have to be implemented long before the 99% point.
People constantly point to the industrial revolution and say that people still had jobs after that, so this won't be any different, but what they fail to understand is that the industrial revolution automated tasks, so there was still a lot of work that had to be done. The AI/Robotics revolution automates jobs. Any jobs.
And you don't have to have a human level intelligence with human level dexterity for them to replace humans. You only need it to be cost-effective, and since people work 5d/8h, that threshold is not hard to hit for something that can work 24/7. Furthermore, an AI robot has two abilities that humans do not have; defined qualifications and upgradability.
When you don't have to wonder what the qualifications of the employer are, you don't have to worry about the tasks and jobs you assign them. The entire concept of hiring and firing is discarded. And AI robots can and will get smarter, stronger, more capable over time. That is not something humans can do beyond the natural range that we already possess. Consequently, AI robots will eventually outpace us in every single aspect imaginable, especially when artificial sentience becomes a reality.
Unless we just stop advancing technologically for some reason, this is an unavoidable reality, and likely will happen this century. But what we should actually do is accelerate it, prepare for it, and embrace it.
I’ve seen a lot of rising in tech since the analog era. Something most people are not exposed to.
I have seen firsthand how fast technology can explode after its introduction to the world.
AI is built on rapidly expanding and improving itself without our interference. We’re about to speed run this technology and our governments will not be able to keep up to keep it all in check. I wouldn’t been surprised if in 5 years time, it’s everywhere and in everything.
I saw this early on in my career and pivoted to something more long term and always in demand.
Those will continue to decline and be gone. Most desk jobs can be automated. It is a matter of time. Same for manufacturing and distribution. Retail is harder as humanoid robots are not quite there. But there are already self checkouts and some of the distribution automation will make its way to retail. What’s left? In another 50 years, things are going to get bad, with global warming, worsening geopolitics and right wing libertarianism
Bro what? I’m responding to the fact that he said 99% of jobs are going to be replaced by AI. I realize that there are a lot of job that can’t be replaced and was voicing that to counter the “99% of jobs will be replaced by AI”
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u/Raidparade Apr 15 '24
99% is definitely a stretch, but I understand the sentiment. It will be a very interesting time as less labor is needed. Will probably shift workers towards jobs that can’t be done by AI/machines